In this article we are going to talk about Sports Betting on the NFL in 2019 and how we can find instant value in the middle of the off-season.
With the NFL draft complete, 254 athletes from across the country will say good-bye to their friends and family and spend the next 4 months focusing on becoming the absolute best they can be.
Every year rookie players enter the league and shift the fate of sinking franchises, giving hope to fan bases across the world. This year will be no different.
If you are anything like me then you have already scoured Youtube looking for your favorite teams newest rookies highlight reels and post draft interviews.
Now it’s time to focus up and get a head start on figuring out who is going to make us the most money in the 2019 NFL Season!
In this article I will talk about some of the NFL worst teams, best teams, and most importantly where we can find the easiest NFL off-season play right now!
Let’s start with the Obvious:
The Cardinals have added a lot of talent to this roster. With the first overall pick they selected Kyler Murray and he will head to Arizona and join new head coach, Kliff Kingsbury. Fun fact, Kliff has been trying to get Kyler Murray to be his quarterback since he was in highschool.
“Me and him have had a relationship since I was like 15 years old. This is something we’ve talked about for a long time. It’s been a long time coming. God works in mysterious ways. For me to be playing for him now is a surreal feeling.” – Kyler Murray
It looks like Kliff finally got his boy, but I don’t think this roster is going to be playoff bound just yet. Keep in mind they play the Seahawks, Rams and the secretly good 49ers twice a year.
I like the Cardinals against teams that have weak defenses, but I definitely do not expect this team to win any shootouts. Kyler will add serious dimensions to this offense and David Johnson is a very good running back, but overall Cardinals lack star power and strength up front.
A quick peak into the Cardinals schedule shows favorable match ups with the Giants, Bengals, Falcons, and Buccaneers. Time will tell but Arizona is only looking at about 5-6 wins this year max.
The 2 worst teams in the NFL (and it’s not even close) will be the Miami Dolphins and the New York Giants. Miami has so little talent on this current roster that it traded last years quarterback and are in full blown rebuild mode.
The Giants continue to keep Eli Manning at quarterback and honestly it makes me happy and I’ll tell you why. The Giants are predictable, they have a bad defense (that just got worst) and will be forced to feed star running back Saquon Barkley if they hope to have any sort of offense. If you ask the Giants to put up any more than two and half touchdowns, you’re going to be asking for a lot.
Fantasy Football Note: Avoid Saquon in the 1st round, Giants will not be scoring alot of points this year. Don’t believe me? Just look at David Johnson production in 2018. David was a bona fide first rounder and only scored 138 points. Listen I am not saying Saquon will be a bust, I am saying that you can get better value looking at guys like Kamara, McCaff and Elliot.
Not So Obvious:
Mark my words the 49ers are going to be playoff contender in 2019. Kyle Shanahan is the best offensive mind in the NFL (better than the Rams Sean McVay) and they have been pouring resources into improving this defense. They get good looking Jimmy G back at quarterback, combined with the fact that Kyle can scheme anyone and everyone open – pencil them in – BREAKOUT TEAM OF THE YEAR.
My 2 faults with the 49ers are:
1. Their defense will improve but still not near elite. Richard Sherman is old and the overall talent of the defensive backs isn’t that scary.
2. They do not have top tier weapons compared to their rivals down south with Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp.
But that is why they are going to be breakout team of the year.
Over Bets: As a general note I expect the 49ers to score a lot this year and with their secondary still in rebuild mode I also expect for them to get scored on. So in conclusion, look at the over for the 49ers to be a profitable play most weeks.
Top Tier Teams
The Saints and Cowboys don’t have very many holes in their rosters. Cowboys are big upfront, big on defense, and the growth from Dak Prescott has been extrodinary. Cowboys are scary and I am absolutely unloading on Cowboys Week 1 vs the NY Giants.
I have the Saints penciled in as 2019 World Champs. This team has made the NFC Championship game back to back years and if not for the Minneapolis Miracle and Infamous No Call I think way more people would be on the Who Dat bang wagon.
As of writing the Saints are 11/1 odds to win the SB.
Where Can We Make Money?
The easiest bet you can make today is New England Patriots to win the AFC East. As of writing they pay 1/5 odds so that means every dollar gets you .20 cents back. Obviously the return on investment is limited but this is what I would call one of your safe money bets.
The other 3 teams in the AFC East are the Dolphins (mentioned earlier) the Bills (second year of rebuild mode) and the New York Jets (second year of rebuild mode + Leveon Bell). The scariest of the 3 being the Jets who added multiple pieces through the draft and free agency process. In case you did not know Adam Gase is the new head coach of the Jets and he is hell bent on dethroning the Patriots. Sorry Adam not this year, but soon…
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In conclusion the draft is over and football doesn’t start for another 4 months but the only way you stay ahead in this game is keeping up to date.
- Cardinals stock is trending up, but up from the bottom isn’t very high.
- Miami Dolphins and the New York Giants flat out suck.
- The 49ers will be playoff bound in 2019 and betting the over in every game looks appealing.
- Saints and Cowboys are the NFL’s most complete teams.
- I penciled in the Saints for 2019 World Champs
- Easiest LOCK OF THE CENTURY is Patriots winning AFC East for the 10 year in a row and for the 15/16 times.